527
FNUS73 KSGF 271811
FWSSGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKY BRANCH...US FOREST SERVICE - USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1211 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S
THIS AFTERNOON. MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE INDICATING THE MIXING LAYER
COULD 'OVERACHIEVE' THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MOST LIKELY MIXING HEIGHTS
OF 5-6KFT, BUT POTENTIALLY AS DEEP AS 7-8KFT AT TIMES. THIS COULD
ACT TO BOOST WIND GUSTS BY ~5 MPH AND DECREASE RHS TO AS LOW AS
UPPER TEENS (17-20%) IF THE MIXING LAYER DOES DEEPEN TO 7-8KFT. IN
THIS SCENARIO, RHS THAT LOW WOULD BE SHORT LIVED AND ONLY LAST 1-2
HOURS WITHIN A SLIGHTLY EARLIER TIMEFRAME.
WINDS WEAKEN AROUND SUNSET, WITH MARGINAL OVERNIGHT RECOVERY
EXPECTED TONIGHT. CLOUDS BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. FRONTAL PASSAGE IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL
TOMORROW EVENING, SO WINDS STAY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TOMORROW WITH
LARGELY SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TODAY, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SLIGHTLY
HIGHER AFTERNOON MINIMUM RHS (AS LOW AS 25-30%).
REST OF TODAY
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 60 65 69 72 73 73 73 71
RH..............55 44 34 27 24 22 21 21 24
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 16 16 18 21 21 20 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.9 3.3 4.8 5.3 5.7 6.2 4.4 1.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.3 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 17 18 18 20 21 21 13
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 6
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 26 50 76 84 97 112 79 20
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD GD PR
TONIGHT
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 4 4 15 35 36 47 60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............67 63 58 56 55 53 52 50 49 47 46 45
RH..............28 32 40 43 43 46 52 56 58 60 63 68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W NW N N NE E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 10 8 8 7 6 7 7 6 9 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W NW NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 9 12 9 9 9 8 8
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W NW NE E E
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 5 6 5 7 4 4 3 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........68 48 56 51 46 48 58 62 59 57 59 63
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20
TEMP............44 45 49 55 60 66 70 73 74 75 74 72
RH..............70 70 66 55 47 38 34 30 28 27 28 30
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 9 8 9 10 10 10 10 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 17 15 18 20 21 22 21 18 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.6 3.6 4.6 5.3 5.3 4.0 2.1
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 7 8 9 12 14 16 18 18 16 12
TRANS WIND DIR..E SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 5
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 3 5 12 26 44 65 85 85 56 21
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD FR PR
FORECASTER...CAMDEN
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604144.0/SGF
.DELDT 02/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL REGGIE.BRAY@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page