037
FNUS73 KSGF 271958
FWSSGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR THORNY RIDGE UNIT...MO DEPT NATURAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
158 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY, BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WITH IT. CURRENT MODEL
TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH SLOWLY ENOUGH
THAT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM ENOUGH THAT PRECIPITATION TYPE
WILL REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY RAIN, BUT A FASTER FRONTAL PROGRESSION
WOULD BRING A LOW (10-20%) CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX SOUTH OF HWY 54
FROM SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING.
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THEN FROM
MONDAY INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS TURN FROM EAST/NORTHEASTERLY ON SUNDAY
TO MORE SOUTHEASTERLY ON MONDAY AS THE FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTHWARD,
WITH ADDITIONAL WIND SHIFTS LIKELY AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES AND THE
FRONT LOCATION FLUCTUATES.
SUNDAY
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........78 82 85 89 92 92 91 91 92 93
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60 60 60
TEMP............35 37 39 42 44 46 46 47 46 45
RH..............61 59 57 51 49 47 49 49 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 20 21 21 21 21 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 18 18 17 17 18 18
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 28 30 33 32 32 28 27 29 29
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY NIGHT
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........94 94 93 93 91 90 88 90 91 93 92 92
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 70 70 70 70 70 70
TEMP............44 42 40 38 38 38 38 37 37 36 36 36
RH..............60 67 73 82 82 82 82 85 89 92 92 92
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 18 18 18 20 22 23 22 21
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 10 10 9
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..31 31 30 29 26 26 24 23 22 20 18 16
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91 91 90 90 90 89 89 88 88 87 88 88
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............36 37 38 40 41 42 44 45 46 47 47 47
RH..............92 92 92 89 89 86 82 82 79 76 76 74
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 M M
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 M M
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E M M
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 16 M M
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E M M
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 M M
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 14 15 16 18 19 21 21 20 18 M M
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR M M
FORECASTER...CAMDEN
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA GREER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604248.0/SGF
.DELDT 02/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.GREER@DNR.MO.GOV
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