394
FXUS63 KSGF 201950
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
250 PM CDT MON APR 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND AND A DRY STRETCH OF WEATHER THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, FEATURING TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 70S.
- SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES (60-80%) RETURN THURSDAY
EVENING INTO FRIDAY. LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN ADDITION TO LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE ARE STILL REMAINING UNCERTAINTIES.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 103 PM CDT MON APR 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED IN OVER THAT STATE BRINGING US SUNNY
SKIES AND HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE AREA.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BEEN BREEZY GUSTING NEAR 20 MPH.
TONIGHT WILL BE ANOTHER CLEAR AND COOL EVENING WITH SSW WINDS
REMAINING ELEVATED NEAR 10 MPH AND LOWS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 50S.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 103 PM CDT MON APR 20 2026
WINDS STAY SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID-WEEK AS 500MB HIGH
PRESSURE STAYS OVERHEAD. THE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL WORK TO
BRING IN MOISTURE AND CLOUDS TO THE AREA. HIGHS WILL REACH THE
MID TO UPPER 80S WITH WINDS STEADILY INCREASING NEAR 30 MPH BY
THURSDAY. OUR SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WITH A 60-80% CHANCE FOR RAIN. SPC HAS US STILL OUTLOOKED
FOR THOSE TWO DAYS. THE LATEST OUTLOOKS HAVE EXPANDED A BIT
FURTHER EAST FOR THURSDAY AND NOW THE AREA INCLUDES AREAS AS FAR
EAST AS MONETT. AS FOR FRIDAY, THE OUTLOOK AREA HAS SHIFTED A
BIT FURTHER WEST TO INCLUDE MOST OF SOUTHWESTERN MO AND INCLUDES
THE SPRINGFIELD AREA. IT'S TOO SOON TO DETERMINE HAZARD TYPES AT
THIS TIME. EXPECT THIS PATTERN CHANGE TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH A 20-40% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH
ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WE HAVE NOT BEEN OUTLOOKED FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ON EITHER OF THOSE DAYS AT THIS TIME.
WITH THE PATTERN CHANGE COMING UP AT THE END OF THE WEEK,
FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN ONCE AGAIN. THIS IS PRIMARILY BECAUSE
OF THE PATH THE PREVIOUS STORMS HAVE TAKEN THE PAST COUPLE OF
WEEKS WHERE THE SAME AREAS ARE RECEIVING A LARGE AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME FROM THUNDERSTORMS. RIGHT
NOW, WPC HAS MOST OF THE AREA OUTLOOKED FOR THURSDAY AND THE
EASTERN OZARKS OUTLOOKED ON FRIDAY FOR A MARGINAL RISK (1/4) FOR
FLOODING. WE'LL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST AND RIVER
LEVELS OVER THOSE AREAS TO ASSESS OUR FLOODING RISK AS WE GET
CLOSER TO THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT MON APR 20 2026
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING
NEAR 20 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. WINDS STAY SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...SORIA
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