184
FXUS63 KSGF 220001
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
701 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN OZARKS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE FOR A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER.
- NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80 BEGINNING
TUESDAY, WITH SEASONABLY PLEASANT AND DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN THIS WEEKEND (20-40%) WITH THE HIGHEST
CHANCES OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL MO.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS ARE STICKING AROUND THE AREA TODAY AND KEEPING
US COOL IN THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO
PEAK IN THE UPPER 70S AND MID 80S WITH THE WARMER TEMPERATURES
FURTHER SOUTH WHERE CLOUDS HAVE BEEN SPARSE. THE FRONT HAS MADE
IT THROUGH THE AREA AND AN INVERTED TROUGH WAS LEFT IN ITS
PLACE. A CORRIDOR OF MEAGER INSTABILITY EXISTS SOUTHEAST OF I-44
OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS OF 1500-2000 J/KG. THOUGH, LIFT WILL BE
A BIT LACKING DUE TO THE POST-FRONTAL NATURE OF THE AIR MASS
THAT'S IN PLACE NOW. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY POP UP
OVER IN THE EASTERN OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON (15-30%) BUT ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. AS FOR THE CONVECTION ONGOING IN NE OK AT
THIS TIME, THOSE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RUN INTO DRY AIR OVER
SW MO AND FIZZLE OUT BEFORE GETTING INTO OUR CWA.
CLOUDS BEGIN TO BUILD BACK IN OVERNIGHT AND A CHANCE FOR FOG
RETURNS AGAIN FOR EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
LOW TO MID 60S TONIGHT WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FOR MID-WEEK AND TEMPERATURES WILL
REALLY START TO FEEL COOLER ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THOUGH,
THIS WILL BE MORE NEAR AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. DEWPOINTS
WILL FINALLY DIP INTO THE 50S TUESDAY NIGHT MAKING THE EVENINGS/MORNINGS
FEEL NICE AND COOL AS TEMPERATURES SIT IN THE 50S. DAYTIME
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S TO END THE WEEK WITH MORE RAIN
RETURNING THIS WEEKEND AS THE NEXT FRONT MOVES THROUGH. RAIN
BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH 20-40% POPS AS
THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN. RAIN CONTINUES IN THE MORNING,
DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY (15-20%), THEN BACK UP TO 20-40%
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS THE FRONT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH. HIGHS
THIS WEEKEND WILL BE IN THE 80S AGAIN.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 701 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING EAST AND SOUTH OF
THE TAF SITES. CLOUDS WILL LOWER WITH MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY DRIZZLE/LIGHT FOG OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING AT TIMES. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...WISE
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