364
FXUS63 KSGF 071110
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
610 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THIS WEEK. HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- DAILY HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 20-35% RANGE HOWEVER
LIGHT WINDS (GUSTS LESS THAN 15MPH) WILL KEEP THE FIRE
WEATHER THREAT LIMITED.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 223 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS FOR ONE MORE DAY WITH SUNNY SKIES
AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S WHICH IS ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SIMILAR TO THE LAST FEW DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S WITH CLEAR SKIES.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 223 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
A COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT IS QUICKLY
FOLLOWED BY A WARM FRONT THAT MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL BE RATHER WEAK, AND WILL MOSTLY BE A WIND SHIFT WITH
LITTLE RELIEF IN THE WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE IN THE UPPER 80S FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND NO RAIN EXPECTED. LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SIT IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S RANGE.
THE FIRST CHANCE OF RAIN MAKES AN APPEARANCE LATER THIS WEEKEND
AS THE REMNANTS OF NEWLY NAMED TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS MOVE INTO
THE AREA. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH
THROUGH EASTERN LA/AR AND COULD CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT WON'T BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL, AND AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 63 WILL LIKELY STAY DRY. RIGHT NOW WE HAVE A
30-50% CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE EASTERN OZARKS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH RAIN DISSIPATING BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM
WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE RAIN WILL FALL. THOUGH, MODELS ARE
MOSTLY IN AGREEMENT THAT THE BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS WEEKEND WILL KEEP THE REMNANTS EAST AND PUSH IT
TOWARDS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THIS MEANS IT'LL BE MORE LIKELY
FOR THE SYSTEM TO GO FURTHER EAST THAN SHIFT BACK TOWARDS THE
WEST.
HIGHS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK WILL
SIT IN THE MID 80S ONCE AGAIN AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
BUILD AND STAY PUT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE START OF
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE NEAR 10 KNOTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND RETURN BACK TO VARIABLE AFTER 00Z TONIGHT.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...SORIA
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