239
FXUS64 KSJT 182015
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
215 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
..WIND ADVISORY EXPIRING THIS AFTERNOON
STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS CONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON, THOUGH
THEY WERE COMING DOWN FROM THEIR EARLIER PEAK GUSTS, MID MORNING
THROUGH NOON. SAN ANGELO HAD A 51 MPH WIND GUST AT 944 AM. WEST
TEXAS MESONET SITES 7NW SAN ANGELO HAD A PEAK WIND OF 50 MPH AT
940 AM, WITH THROCKMORTON ALSO 50 MPH AT 1211 PM. THE ABILENE
REGIONAL AIRPORT ASOS HAD A PEAK WIND OF 51 KTS, OR 59 MPH AT 1129
AM.
THE WIND ADVISORY EXPIRES AT 3 PM CST. WHILE A FEW AREAS, MAINLY
IN THE BIG COUNTRY, MAY SEE SEE ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR AN HOUR OR
SO AFTER 3 PM, THE TREND OVER ALL IS DOWN AND WILL ALLOW THE WIND
ADVISORY TO EXPIRE. WEST WINDS OTHERWISE FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15
MPH EARLY THIS EVENING, THEN 5 TO 10 MPH TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.
TUESDAY, WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE BACK UP TO THE
10 TO 15 MPH RANGE. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY RANGE FROM LOWS MAINLY
IN THE MID 40S TO HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
A MUCH MORE BENIGN PATTERN IS LOOKING TO SET UP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE ONLY FEATURE OF
NOTE WILL BE A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY. AS A STRONG UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS, A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH AND WEST FROM THE CORRESPONDING
SURFACE LOW WILL DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA, LIKELY MOVING THROUGH
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO WEDNESDAY. WE'RE NOT EXPECTING ANY
PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT AS THIS FRONT WILL BE USHERING IN AN
EVEN DRIER AIRMASS BEHIND IT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL TAKE
A BIT OF A HIT AND SHOULD ONLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL BE A
TOUCH COOLER IN SOME LOCATIONS BUT SHOULD GENERALLY BE COMPARABLE TO
TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S. LOWS FOR THIS DAY MAY NEED
TO BE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD IN FUTURE UPDATES TO ACCOUNT FOR POTENTIALLY
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM INTO THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS RETURNING
BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S BY
FRIDAY AND POTENTIALLY EVEN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S BY SUNDAY. LOWS
WILL ALSO START ON AN UPWARD TREND BACK INTO THE 40S AND 50S BY THIS
WEEKEND. WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND/OR ZONAL FLOW TO CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE FORECAST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE
SHOULD REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1105 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
P6SM SKC THROUGH PERIOD. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25G35KTS AT
KABI AND KSJT WITH 10-20G30KTS AT OTHER TERMINALS THROUGH 00Z
WHEN WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE TO 5-15KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 47 71 37 60 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 47 72 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 44 76 39 67 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 46 74 40 63 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 47 71 39 60 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 46 71 39 63 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 49 74 40 63 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-NOLAN-
RUNNELS-SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM
GREEN.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....50
AVIATION...99
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