723
FXUS64 KSJT 190823
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
223 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR-RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES WITH BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
- EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
THROUGH NOON ON THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2025.
...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WITH WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE REGION, TO AS LOW AS
10 BELOW IN THE BIG COUNTRY...
THE STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, EXITING SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR BY 3PM THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES HAVE QUICKLY STARTED
TO DROP BEHIND THE FRONT AS NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AND BECOME
GUSTY. CLOUD COVER ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION HAS ALSO HINDERED
HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM SURPASSING THE 50S TODAY, AND WILL LIKELY
LINGER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD BEFORE SCATTERING OUT BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT, A BITTERLY COLD AIR
MASS WILL SETUP ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH PERSISTENT GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS, WHICH WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO 10 BELOW ZERO DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. THE EXTREME COLD WARNING FOR THESE DANGEROUSLY
COLD WIND CHILLS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM 6PM TODAY THROUGH
NOON ON THURSDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO STRUGGLE TO RISE
ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, WITH AREAS ALONG THE I-10
CORRIDOR JUST BARELY MAKING IT INTO THE MID 30S. HOWEVER, HIGH
TEMPERATURES MAY VARY SLIGHTLY, DEPENDENT ON IF CLOUD COVER
LINGERS AROUND THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS OR DISSIPATES EARLIER
THAN EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
EXPECT A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LONG TERM. THE
ARCTIC AIRMASS EXITING TO THE EAST AND A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. HIGHS WILL STILL BE COLD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH 30S TO
MID 40S, BUT WARM INTO UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S SUNDAY AND UPPER 70S
TO LOWER 80S EARLY NEXT WEEK. STILL VERY COLD FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
MORNINGS WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S AND THEN LOWS REMAINING
WELL ABOVE FREEZING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2025
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WITH PATCHY MIST WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND
INTO THE MORNING BEFORE CEILINGS GRADUALLY RISE TO VFR AT ALL
TERMINALS BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15-25 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 KNOTS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF
TOMORROW BEFORE GRADUALLY COMING DOWN DURING THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 26 9 32 18 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 30 12 36 18 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 35 12 41 19 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 28 10 34 18 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 26 8 32 17 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 34 14 40 21 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 29 12 35 19 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-KIMBLE-
MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-
SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...42
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