389
FXUS64 KSJT 191116
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
516 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR-RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES WITH BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
- EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
THROUGH NOON ON THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 319 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
BITTERLY COLD AIR HAS INVADED WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING BEHIND
A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION YESTERDAY.
A 1050MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED OVER NORTH DAKOTA, WHICH IS
THE MAIN DRIVER OF THIS COLD AIRMASS, WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHWARD TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT INTO THE THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS
SHOULD CAUSE NORTHERLY WINDS TO PERSIST AND MAINTAIN THE COLD
TEMPERATURES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY
PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE DAY DUE TO THE FRONTAL INVERSION IN PLACE.
AS LONG AS THE CLOUD COVER REMAINS, TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO
WARM UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON WHEN SOME BREAKS START APPEARING. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FINALLY CLIMB TO THE MID 20S TO LOW
30S. CLOUDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL
DROP INTO THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS AGAIN TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE
WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 MPH TONIGHT WIND CHILLS SHOULD
STILL RANGE FROM 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
EXPECT A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LONG TERM. THE
ARCTIC AIRMASS EXITING TO THE EAST AND A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. HIGHS WILL STILL BE COLD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH 30S TO
MID 40S, BUT WARM INTO UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S SUNDAY AND UPPER 70S
TO LOWER 80S EARLY NEXT WEEK. STILL VERY COLD FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
MORNINGS WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S AND THEN LOWS REMAINING
WELL ABOVE FREEZING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
MVFR CEILINGS AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY DUE
TO FLURRIES. BY LATE AFTERNOON MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
WITH MORE CLEARING AND DECREASING WINDS TO FOLLOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 26 9 32 18 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 30 12 36 18 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 35 12 41 19 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 28 10 34 18 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 26 8 32 17 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 34 14 40 21 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 29 12 35 19 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-KIMBLE-
MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-
SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...SK
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