154
FXUS64 KSJT 202009
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
209 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW MORNING.
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE
TEENS AND LOWER 20S. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS THAT WILL BE
SUSTAINED AT 5 TO 10 MPH WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER. THE WIND
CHILLS WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 5 DEGREES. AS A RESULT, WE
HAVE ISSUED A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THESE VERY COLD CONDITIONS
AS THE WIND CHILLS CAN LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA WITH PROLONGED
EXPOSURE.
LOOKING AHEAD, TOMORROW'S HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL START A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. CLOUD
COVER MAY PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING. HOWEVER, WE SHOULD
SEE SOME CLEARING OF THE SKIES ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. ELSEWHERE,
CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT HIGHS A BIT AS IT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 113 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
THE WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK, WITH WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW SETTING UP BEHIND THE ARCTIC
AIRMASS EXITING TO THE EAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S ON SATURDAY, AND QUICKLY RISE INTO THE
MID 60S TO LOW 70S FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK LOOK TO REACH INTO THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK WITH RH VALUES DROPPING INTO
THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS OUR WESTERN AND CENTRAL COUNTIES
AND POTENTIAL FOR BREEZY WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CST THU FEB 20 2025
A BROAD AREA OF MVFR CEILINGS IS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH PER
SATELLITE AND ASOS OBSERVATIONS AS OF 17Z. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
NEGATIVELY AFFECT KJCT, KSJT, AND KSOA. IT REMAINS UNCERTAIN HOW
FAR NORTH THESE CEILINGS WILL SPREAD. MODELS CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT
THE SKIES BY THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, WE OPTED TO LINGER THE MVFR
CONDITIONS A BIT LONGER THAN THE MODELS GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS
ON SATELLITE. A BREAKUP OF THIS CLOUD BANK SHOULD OCCUR BY LATE
AFTERNOON BEFORE REDEVELOPING AGAIN OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 18 40 23 52 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 19 41 26 49 / 0 0 0 10
JUNCTION 19 41 27 49 / 0 0 0 10
BROWNWOOD 17 38 25 48 / 0 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 16 40 24 52 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 21 44 29 47 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 19 37 28 45 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-
IRION-JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-
SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM
GREEN.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...41
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