058
FXUS64 KSJT 211052
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
452 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
FRIDAY.
- A VERY LOW CHANCE OF A LIGHT WINTRY MIX FAR SOUTHEAST LATE
TONIGHT.
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN LATE THIS WEEKEND AND
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
EXPECT ANOTHER COLD DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES WARMER, UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT RETURNS ON RADAR
CURRENTLY SO A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BUT NO MAJOR
IMPACTS.TONIGHT MAY A LITTLE MORE INTERESTING ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AS INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVERRUNNING A
REMAINING COLD AIRMASS(SURFACE TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING). AS A
RESULT, THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE(10-20%) OF A VERY LIGHT WINTRY
MIX LATE TONIGHT MAINLY EAST OF A BRADY TO JUNCTION LINE. EXPECT
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS, BUT A FEW SLICK SPOTS ARE POSSIBLE ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES SO MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SLOW
DOWN. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 20S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
A DRY AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP ENSUING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE ON SATURDAY BUT WILL STILL
BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY BUT SOME SUN IS EXPECTED
BY AFTERNOON, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP WILL THEN TAKE PLACE SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. UPPER RIDGING WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT PREVAILING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A LOW LEVEL
THERMAL RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS WEST TEXAS ON MONDAY,
LEADING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE MID TO LATE WEEK TIME FRAME, ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT
COOL DOWN IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY, BEHIND A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE 70S, COOLING INTO THE UPPER 60S BY
THURSDAY AND THEN REBOUNDING INTO THE 70S AGAIN BY FRIDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL WARM FROM THE 30S THIS WEEKEND, INTO THE
40S BY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 451 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
EXPECT MAINLY LOW END VFR CEILINGS TODAY AT THE TERMINALS. EXPECT
MVFR CEILINGS RETURNING TO THE SOUTHERN TERMINAL LATE TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 39 24 54 35 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 41 26 50 34 / 0 0 10 0
JUNCTION 42 27 49 34 / 0 10 10 10
BROWNWOOD 39 24 50 33 / 0 10 0 10
SWEETWATER 40 24 54 35 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 44 28 48 33 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 38 29 48 36 / 0 10 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR BROWN-
CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-
KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-
SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...21
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