745
FXUS64 KSJT 220203
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
803 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN LATE THIS WEEKEND AND
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 801 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
QUICK UPDATE TO MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AS
FAR AS BRADY AND BROWNWOOD OVERNIGHT. SIMILARLY TO LAST NIGHT, 00Z
HI RES MODELS ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE SHOWING AT LEAST PATCHY LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN SPREADING FARTHER NORTH INTO THE HEARTLAND
OVERNIGHT. NOT SURE WE WILL SEE MUCH IF ANY ACCUMULATION, BUT
WANTED TO AT LEAST MENTION SOMETHING IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
A GRADUAL WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND
INTO FRIDAY NEXT WEEK, WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY REACH INTO THE
MID 40S TO MID 50S ONLY, BUT BY SUNDAY AS CLOUD COVER STARTS TO
CLEAR OUT, HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. A LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS
WEST TEXAS ON MONDAY, LEADING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES,
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
BREEZY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH RH VALUES IN THE TEENS TO MID
20S, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 511 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
LOW END VFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DECREASE MVFR ACROSS ALL WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS OVERNIGHTS, WITH THE SOUTHEAST SITES
LIKELY SPENDING SOME PERIOD OF TIME IN IFR AS CIGS DROP BELOW
1000FT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATEST HI-RES MODELS AS THEY
CONTINUE TO FLIRT WITH SOME CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST LOCATIONS, BUT AT THIS POINT ODDS ARE LOW ENOUGH TO
NOT MENTION IN THE AVIATION FORECAST. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 24 53 34 68 / 0 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 27 49 33 70 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 30 50 34 70 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 24 49 33 66 / 10 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 23 54 33 70 / 0 0 10 0
OZONA 27 48 33 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 28 46 35 66 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...07
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