540
FXUS64 KSJT 220444
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1044 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN LATE THIS WEEKEND AND
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 801 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
QUICK UPDATE TO MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AS
FAR AS BRADY AND BROWNWOOD OVERNIGHT. SIMILARLY TO LAST NIGHT, 00Z
HI RES MODELS ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE SHOWING AT LEAST PATCHY LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN SPREADING FARTHER NORTH INTO THE HEARTLAND
OVERNIGHT. NOT SURE WE WILL SEE MUCH IF ANY ACCUMULATION, BUT
WANTED TO AT LEAST MENTION SOMETHING IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
A GRADUAL WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND
INTO FRIDAY NEXT WEEK, WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY REACH INTO THE
MID 40S TO MID 50S ONLY, BUT BY SUNDAY AS CLOUD COVER STARTS TO
CLEAR OUT, HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. A LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS
WEST TEXAS ON MONDAY, LEADING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES,
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
BREEZY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH RH VALUES IN THE TEENS TO MID
20S, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1016 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
MVFR CIGS CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THIS EVENING,
AND THIS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WELL INTO THE
DAY ON SATURDAY. SOME RISK THAT SOME IFR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TERMINALS, BUT IF IT DOES IT LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL BRIEF. SOME IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED BY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 24 53 34 68 / 0 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 27 49 33 69 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 30 50 34 70 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 24 49 33 66 / 10 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 23 54 33 69 / 0 0 10 0
OZONA 27 48 33 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 28 46 35 66 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...07
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