629
FXUS64 KSJT 261736
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1236 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
FOR THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 236 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
THE WEATHER GETS MORE INTERESTING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM NORTHERN MEXICO AND INCREASING
MOISTURE(PWS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES) WILL RESULT IN INCREASING
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TONIGHT. GOING WITH
LOW TO MODERATE CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA. THE HIGHEST POPS(LIKELY) ARE ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
TONIGHT, WITH THE HI-RES MODELS INDICATING THE BEST OF COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION. LOOKS LIKE ANY DEVELOPING FLOODING CONCERNS WILL
REMAIN SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA. HOWEVER, A FEW STORMS MAY
CONTAIN BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL, SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY.
ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 304 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL TRACK ACROSS WESTERN AND WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY,
INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP
THE BULK OF THE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU
AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHWARD. THERE REMAINS A CHANCE
FOR SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE ON
THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND NORTHWEST HILL
COUNTRY, WITH MARGINALLY HIGHER INSTABILITY LINGERING ACROSS THE
AREA INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH ANY STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS.
EXPECT THE PRECIPITATION TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY THE END OF
THE DAY FRIDAY, WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THURSDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S UNDER
MOSTLY MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND POTENTIAL RAINFALL. BY FRIDAY
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD INTO THE WEEKEND, WHERE
TEMPERATURE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL RANGE IN THE MID 80S TO
MID 90S. A COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
SUNDAY EVENING, BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES MONDAY, WITH HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 70S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS TO START OFF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
ALTHOUGH THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR BRIEF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AT SAN ANGELO, SONORA AND JUNCTION. OVERNIGHT, RAIN
CHANCES DIMINISH BUT IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD SET IN,
ESPECIALLY BY SUNRISE CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 60 71 56 81 / 10 60 60 30
SAN ANGELO 57 69 54 82 / 40 90 60 20
JUNCTION 57 67 55 82 / 70 90 70 40
BROWNWOOD 58 68 54 77 / 20 80 70 50
SWEETWATER 60 71 55 82 / 20 60 50 20
OZONA 57 67 54 82 / 70 80 60 10
BRADY 59 65 57 79 / 60 90 70 50
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...SK
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