476
FXUS64 KSJT 271715
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1215 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, MAINLY FOR EASTERN COUNTIES.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 244 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2025
THE WEATHER GETS MORE INTERESTING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND INCREASING MOISTURE(PWS OF 1
TO 1.5 INCHES) WILL RESULT IN INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. GOING WITH
MODERATE TO VERY HIGH CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE THE HIGHEST ALONG THE I-10
CORRIDOR WITH A LOW CHANCE OF LOCALIZED 1+ INCH AMOUNTS WHERE
MESOSCALE FORCING WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE. AS A RESULT FLOODING
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW BUT NON ZERO, AT LEAST MINOR
FLOODING POSSIBLE. ALSO, A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE MARGINAL SEVERE
HAIL(QUARTER SIZE) ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT COOLER CONDITIONS TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S AND 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUT SURELY TRACK
EASTWARD AND EXIT THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WITH SOME
WEAK RIDGING AND ZONAL LOW BUILDING IN BEHIND IT. THIS WILL HELP
BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S, AND INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S FOR THE WEEKEND. A
FEW SHOWERS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY ALONG AND
EASTWARD OF A BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION LINE.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS THIS WEEKEND WILL RAISE CONCERN FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY, RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, AND
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
POTENTIALLY AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH MONDAY BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA
WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S. RAIN
CHANCES WITH THIS FRONT REMAIN SLIM TO NONE, GIVEN THE LACK OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SUPPORT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2025
VFR TO MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD GIVE WAY TO IFR LATE THIS EVENING WITH
SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING AT SOME LOCATIONS. OVERNIGHT, WIDESPREAD
IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH SOME LOCALIZED REDUCTION
IN VISIBILITY. LOW CEILINGS SHOULD START TO IMPROVE AFTER 15Z FOR
MOST LOCATIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 58 79 60 92 / 30 30 0 0
SAN ANGELO 56 81 59 91 / 30 20 0 0
JUNCTION 56 79 57 89 / 40 40 0 0
BROWNWOOD 55 76 57 91 / 60 60 0 0
SWEETWATER 57 81 61 92 / 20 10 0 0
OZONA 57 79 59 88 / 30 10 0 0
BRADY 57 77 59 90 / 40 40 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...SK
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