696
FXUS64 KSJT 280723
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
223 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S FOR SATURDAY.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN BY MONDAY, WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN BY MID TO LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2025
THIS AFTERNOON, AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WERE
OCCURRING, BUT OVERALL, THIS WAVE HAS TURNED OUT TO BE FAIRLY WEAK,
RESULTING IN FAR LESS COVERAGE OF RAIN AND CLOUDS THAN ANTICIPATED.
WHILE SOME RAIN SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ARE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY IN THE MID 50S
WITH NOT A LOT OF MIC-LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABLE. THE UPPER-LEVEL
WAVE SHOULD PUSH EASTWARD OVERNIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN
FOCUSED SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ABILENE TO SONORA THROUGH
TOMORROW. DOWNWARD MOTION FROM NEGATIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE WAVE SHOULD LIMIT ANY FURTHER RAIN CHANCES WEST
OF THIS LINE. DESPITE THIS, WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER SHOULD STILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE. CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE STARTING LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
AS DAYTIME HEATING INCREASES. SOUTHERLY WINDS AND PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE BY THE AFTERNOON SHOULD ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 222 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
EXPECT MAINLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR
THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. EXPECT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARM
850 TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THERE ARE LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A DRYLINE EAST OF AN ABILENE TO SAN ANGELO TO
SONORA LINE. ANY STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP MAY BECOME SEVERE DUE TO
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT A DRY
FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM WITH NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
A FEW SHOWERS ARE LINGERING AROUND THE I-10 CORRIDOR, AND
BRINGING MVFR TO LIFR CEILINGS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO OUR
SOUTHERN 3 TERMINALS EARLY THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO DETERIORATE ACROSS ALL TERMINALS TO MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THIS MORNING, WHEN CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES BEGIN TO
LIFT. CLOUD CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS BY
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF A FEW HOURS OF GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 80 60 93 63 / 30 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 81 59 91 60 / 20 0 0 20
JUNCTION 80 57 90 60 / 50 0 0 20
BROWNWOOD 77 57 91 61 / 60 0 10 20
SWEETWATER 82 61 92 61 / 10 0 0 10
OZONA 81 59 88 61 / 20 0 0 20
BRADY 78 59 90 63 / 50 0 10 20
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...TP
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