286
FXUS64 KSJT 280742
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
242 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S FOR SATURDAY.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN BY MONDAY, WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN BY MID TO LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO PUSH FURTHER EASTWARD
THIS MORNING, CONTINUING TO BRING SHOWERS TO MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH MID-DAY TODAY. BEST RAIN CHANCES REMAIN FOCUSED OVER
AN AREA SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ABILENE TO SONORA THROUGH
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR UP AND DRY
OUT BY THIS AFTERNOON AS DAY-TIME HEATING INCREASES WITH SOME
SUNSHINE MAKING ITS WAY THOUGH. THE LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL LEAD TO AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES
REACHING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S TODAY. AS THE WARMING TREND
INTO THIS WEEKEND BEGINS, SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 222 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
EXPECT MAINLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR
THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. EXPECT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARM
850 TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THERE ARE LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A DRYLINE EAST OF AN ABILENE TO SAN ANGELO TO
SONORA LINE. ANY STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP MAY BECOME SEVERE DUE TO
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT A DRY
FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM WITH NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
A FEW SHOWERS ARE LINGERING AROUND THE I-10 CORRIDOR, AND
BRINGING MVFR TO LIFR CEILINGS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO OUR
SOUTHERN 3 TERMINALS EARLY THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO DETERIORATE ACROSS ALL TERMINALS TO MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THIS MORNING, WHEN CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES BEGIN TO
LIFT. CLOUD CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS BY
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF A FEW HOURS OF GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 80 60 93 63 / 30 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 81 59 91 60 / 20 0 0 20
JUNCTION 80 57 90 60 / 50 0 0 20
BROWNWOOD 77 57 91 61 / 60 0 10 20
SWEETWATER 82 61 92 61 / 10 0 0 10
OZONA 81 59 88 61 / 20 0 0 20
BRADY 78 59 90 63 / 50 0 10 20
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...TP
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