572
FXUS64 KSJT 301940
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
240 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF
THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S.
- THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
- THERE ARE LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES OF RAIN LATE THIS WEEK AND THIS
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 238 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
AS OF 2:30 THIS AFTERNOON, THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER THE
SOUTHERN BIG COUNTRY AND THE DRYLINE WAS OVER THE HEARTLAND. THE
FRONT HAS LIMITED HIGHS IN THE BIG COUNTRY, WITH A ROUGHLY 20 DEGREE
TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN OUR NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT ALSO BROUGHT HIGHER DEWPOINTS BEHIND IT,
INCREASING HUMIDITY VALUES FOR THE BIG COUNTRY. AREAS SOUTH OF THE
FRONT AND WEST OF THE DRYLINE HAVE HUMDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
LOW TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONALLY BREEZY
WINDS HAVE LED TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR AREAS SOUTH
OF I-20. AN RFD IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FOR THIS AREA.
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING, EXITING OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT. RAIN CHANCES ALONG THE FRONT REMAIN VERY LOW (<10%) IN
OUR AREA. HOWEVER, IF THE DRYLINE STAYS A LITTLE FURTHER WEST THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST, A STRONG TO SEVERE STORM COULD APPROACH SAN SABA
COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING. IF THE DRYLINE PUSHES EAST OF SAN SABA
BEFORE THE FRONT CAN MOVE THROUGH, THEN OUR AREA SHOULD BE IN THE
CLEAR FOR ANY STORMS THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT
TOMORROW WILL BE MUCH CLOSER TO NORMAL, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 70S TO
LOW 80S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
EXPECT MAINLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR
EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE THIS
WEEK AND THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. EXPECT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW
AND WARM 850 TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AFTER
THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THERE ARE LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT DUE TO A COLD FRONT/DRYLINE IN THE AREA. A MORE UNSETTLED
PATTERN IS EXPECTED WITH A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM/STATIONARY
FRONT OVER THE AREA LATE THIS WEEK. LOOKS LIKE A POTENTIAL WET
PATTERN SETTING UP(PER GLOBAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS). THE
NBM LOOKS GOOD WITH LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HOPEFULLY SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN
AS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA IS CURRENTLY IN SEVERE TO
EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH
THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE
FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST, BEFORE BECOMING LIGHTER AND MORE
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 48 74 53 91 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 50 79 54 91 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 51 83 53 90 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 48 76 49 90 / 0 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 48 74 56 91 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 54 83 57 88 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 51 77 52 89 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...AP
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