160
FXUS64 KSJT 280810
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
310 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY, HEARTLAND AND PORTIONS OF
THE CONCHO VALLEY.
- UNSETTLED PATTERN IN THE MIDDLE PARTS OF THIS WEEK, WITH
CHANCES OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
CURRENT MOSAIC RADAR INDICATES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
HEARTLAND, MOVING EAST. ALSO, THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN
PERMAIN BASIN ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCV OVER SOUTHEAST NM. THIS
FEATURE WILL BE MAIN PLAYER FOR CONVECTION TODAY, ALONG WITH A FEW
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THE HI-RES MODELS ARE SHOWING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA MAINLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE BEST COVERAGE OF
ACTIVITY WILL BE ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND. A FEW
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY AND
SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. EXPECT QUIET WEATHER MUCH OF TONIGHT WITH ONLY A
FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. EXPECT A
MORE SUMMER LIKE PATTERN THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER,
LOW CHANCES OF RAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
LOOKS LOW(LESS THAN 15 PERCENT) AT THIS TIME. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO
THE 90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
CURRENTLY MOST SITES ARE AT VFR, WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS AT VFR
HEIGHTS. THERE IS SOME TSRA ACTIVITY THAT IS MOVING ACROSS THE
EASTERN CONCHO VALLEY AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY, AND HAVE
A PROB30 AT THE KBBD TERMINAL. KABI LOOKS LESS LIKELY TO SEE ANY
TSRA ACTIVITY SO DO NOT HAVE MENTION OF TSRA THERE. OTHERWISE,
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR KABI, KBBD, AND
KJCT WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH VFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING EVERYWHERE
BY 18Z. AS FAR AS WINDS GO, OUTSIDE OF ANY TSRA GUSTS, GENERALLY
LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 82 65 85 62 / 50 10 20 30
SAN ANGELO 85 65 88 63 / 50 10 10 30
JUNCTION 85 65 90 65 / 60 10 10 20
BROWNWOOD 81 64 86 62 / 70 10 20 30
SWEETWATER 84 65 85 62 / 50 10 20 30
OZONA 86 66 88 65 / 40 10 10 30
BRADY 81 65 86 64 / 60 20 10 30
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...21
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page