104
FXUS64 KSJT 232348
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
648 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
RADAR OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE REGION SHOW SOME SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE WEST OF OUR AREA. HOWEVER, THIS ACTIVITY WILL
REMAIN OFF TO THE WEST THROUGH THIS EVENING. WE WILL REMAIN ON THE
WESTERN EDGE OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LOCATED ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AS A RESULT, WE WILL LARGELY REMAIN HOT AND DRY
THROUGH TOMORROW. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.
OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
THE PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN OF "RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST US
AND TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN US" WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WHICH SHOULD ALLOW WARM AND SOMEWHAT HUMID CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE. FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, THIS PATTERN SHOULD START TO
BREAK DOWN AS THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OUT AND THE WESTERN US TROUGH
WEAKENS. WHAT IS LEFT OF THE RIDGE WILL LIKELY BECOME CENTERED OVER
EAST TEXAS OVER THE WEEKEND, WHILE A SECOND RIDGE STARTS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE WESTERN US. GIVEN THE CONTINUING DRYING CONDITIONS AND
SLIGHTLY HIGHER HEIGHTS, HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO CREEP UP TO THE
UPPER 90S AND AROUND 100 BY THE END OF THIS WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE TO REMAIN LOW, ASIDE FROM A FEW STRAY SHOWERS OR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU. BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS
NORTHWEST TEXAS. AT THIS TIME, NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, WIND OR
SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. GUSTY
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL COME DOWN AFTER SUNSET BUT STILL REMAIN
BREEZY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. A FEW HOURS OF MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE
FOR THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE,
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ON TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 73 94 72 93 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 70 94 71 93 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 69 93 69 93 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 71 92 71 91 / 10 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 72 95 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 71 92 70 92 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 69 90 69 90 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...42
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