687
FXUS64 KSJT 250601
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
101 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEK, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 307 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
WE WILL SIT ACROSS THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS MEANS THAT WE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE THE WARM, DRY, AND SUNNY CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR
AREA. HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHTER THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS, BUT SOME MINOR GUSTY
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A SLIGHT WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND,
WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH A FEW
SPOTS POTENTIALLY REACHING 100. WE COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THIS WEEK.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR CATCHING AN ISOLATED STORM THIS WEEK WILL BE
IN OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES DUE TO THE WAA AND SEA BREEZE
CONVECTION AS WELL AS OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES DUE TO SOME
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW ALOFT. NEXT WEEK, WE ARE
EXPECTING HIGHER RAIN CHANCES, BUT UNCERTAINTY IS STILL VERY
HIGH. THE ECMWF IS A BIT MORE GENEROUS FOR OUR AREA IN TERMS OF
RAIN AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE, AS IT BRINGS A FRONT FURTHER SOUTH INTO
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA FOR EARLY TUESDAY. THE GFS
KEEPS THE FRONT FURTHER NORTH, KEEPING MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE FOR
OUR AREA AND THE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TO OUR NORTH. RIGHT NOW, WE
HAVE CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN OUR AREA FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, BUT CHANCES WILL CHANGE DEPENDING ON FRONTAL POSITIONING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE TERMINALS FOR MOST IF NOT
ALL OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOME PATCHY MVFR CEILINGS MAY OCCUR
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS AROUND SUNRISE, BUT SHOULD REMAIN
SHORT-LIVED. FOR NOW, WILL ONLY INCLUDE A SCATTERED LOW CLOUD
GROUP AND MONITOR THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE,
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AND WILL CONTINUE TO GUST
NEAR 20KTS AT TIMES DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 92 73 93 74 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 93 71 93 71 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 92 69 93 69 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 91 71 92 71 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 94 73 94 74 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 91 70 92 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 90 70 91 69 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...24
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