927
FXUS64 KSJT 251145
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
645 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS INTO THIS WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 317 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
DEEP SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA
AGAIN TODAY, WITH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS REMAINING ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH TO OUR EAST. LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE
PAST FEW DAYS, WITH MAINLY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS PREVAILING,
ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. CANNOT RULE
OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVER FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES
LATE THIS AFTERNOON DURING PEAK HEATING, BUT MOST OF ANY DIURNAL
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 90S, WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A SLIGHT WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND,
WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH A FEW
SPOTS POTENTIALLY REACHING 100. WE COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THIS WEEK.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR CATCHING AN ISOLATED STORM THIS WEEK WILL BE
IN OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES DUE TO THE WAA AND SEA BREEZE
CONVECTION AS WELL AS OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES DUE TO SOME
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW ALOFT. NEXT WEEK, WE ARE
EXPECTING HIGHER RAIN CHANCES, BUT UNCERTAINTY IS STILL VERY
HIGH. THE ECMWF IS A BIT MORE GENEROUS FOR OUR AREA IN TERMS OF
RAIN AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE, AS IT BRINGS A FRONT FURTHER SOUTH INTO
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA FOR EARLY TUESDAY. THE GFS
KEEPS THE FRONT FURTHER NORTH, KEEPING MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE FOR
OUR AREA AND THE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TO OUR NORTH. RIGHT NOW, WE
HAVE CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN OUR AREA FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, BUT CHANCES WILL CHANGE DEPENDING ON FRONTAL POSITIONING.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 637 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
SOME PATCHY MVFR CEILINGS WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS
THROUGH MID MORNING AND WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO GROUP FOR MVFR
CEILINGS AT KJCT AND KSOA THIS FORECAST CYCLE. KSJT AND KBBD
MAY ALSO SEE STRATUS BUT SHOULD BE MORE SCATTERED AT THOSE
SITES. OTHERWISE, SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AND
WILL CONTINUE TO GUST NEAR 20 KTS AT TIMES DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. STRATUS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TERMINALS TOWARDS DAYBREAK THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 93 73 93 74 / 10 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 93 71 93 71 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 93 69 93 69 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 92 71 92 71 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 94 73 94 74 / 10 10 0 0
OZONA 92 70 92 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 90 70 91 69 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...24
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