843
FXUS64 KSJT 251759
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1259 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS INTO THIS WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1258 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT, BECOMING LIGHT BY LATER THIS
EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. CONTINUE TO
EXPECT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MOST RECENT
CAMS ARE SHOWING A FEW SMALL ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HEARTLAND AND
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THEREFOR,
WE CAN NOT YET RULE OUT ANY ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN-MOST COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A SLIGHT WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND,
WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH A FEW
SPOTS POTENTIALLY REACHING 100. WE COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THIS WEEK.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR CATCHING AN ISOLATED STORM THIS WEEK WILL BE
IN OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES DUE TO THE WAA AND SEA BREEZE
CONVECTION AS WELL AS OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES DUE TO SOME
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW ALOFT. NEXT WEEK, WE ARE
EXPECTING HIGHER RAIN CHANCES, BUT UNCERTAINTY IS STILL VERY
HIGH. THE ECMWF IS A BIT MORE GENEROUS FOR OUR AREA IN TERMS OF
RAIN AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE, AS IT BRINGS A FRONT FURTHER SOUTH INTO
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA FOR EARLY TUESDAY. THE GFS
KEEPS THE FRONT FURTHER NORTH, KEEPING MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE FOR
OUR AREA AND THE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TO OUR NORTH. RIGHT NOW, WE
HAVE CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN OUR AREA FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, BUT CHANCES WILL CHANGE DEPENDING ON FRONTAL POSITIONING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY UNDER BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. KSOA, KJCT, AND KBBD MAY SEE ANOTHER
ROUND OF MVFR CEILINGS DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS THURSDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME GENERALLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS WELL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 73 93 74 94 / 10 10 0 10
SAN ANGELO 71 93 72 94 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 69 93 69 94 / 0 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 92 72 93 / 0 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 74 94 74 95 / 10 10 10 10
OZONA 70 92 70 92 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 70 91 70 93 / 0 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...TP
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