005
FXUS64 KSJT 262309
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
609 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS INTO THIS WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
CURRENTLY, WE HAVE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER MOST OF OUR
FORECAST AREA, BORDERED IMMEDIATELY TO OUR WEST BY WEAK
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW, MAINLY NORTH
AND WEST OF A SWEETWATER TO THROCKMORTON LINE, AND HAVE KEPT A LOW
(20% OR LESS) CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PRECIPITATION
THERE FOR A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING. FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST,
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN PUSHING
NORTHWEST TOWARD THE AREA. HOWEVER, MUCH LIKE THE LAST FEW DAYS,
LOW CONFIDENCE IN SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE ARGUES FOR KEEPING A
MENTION OF THESE OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW. EXPECT SIMILAR
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S, WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE LOW TO MID 90S TOMORROW.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH UPPER LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDING WESTWARD INTO THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 90S ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
REMAINING IN THE 70S. THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE BEGINS
TO BREAK DOWN BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A WEAKNESS ALOFT
DEVELOPING OVER THE REGION. WE CONTINUE TO SHOW POPS IN THE 20-40%
RANGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CURRENTLY, THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE MID WEEK TIME FRAME ARE
FAVORED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF OUR AREA BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS PART OF THE FORECAST FOR HIGHER (OR LOWER) RAIN
CHANCES. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MID 90S ALTHOUGH HIGHS COULD BE CLOSER TO THE
UPPER 90S IF WE SEE LESS CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS IN THE AREA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
LITTLE CHANGE IN PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA, LEAVING VFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY AT TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 95 75 96 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 73 95 72 96 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 70 94 70 95 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 93 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 74 96 75 97 / 10 10 0 0
OZONA 72 93 71 94 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 70 92 71 93 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...07
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