912
FXUS64 KSJT 282328 AAA
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
628 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ALONG WITH A THERMAL RIDGE IN PLACE ACROSS
PART OF THE REGION WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES AND MINIMAL CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DESPITE
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON, CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE SLIM TO
NONE DUE TO THE CAPPED AIRMASS IN PLACE. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE 70S, AND AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHERLY IN GENERAL AND BREEZY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, BEFORE BECOMING BREEZY AGAIN BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
..RAIN CHANCES RETURN MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE MONDAY
BEFORE STALLING JUST NORTHWEST OF THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY MONDAY AND THE REST OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS MON NIGHT AS LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO AND NORTHWEST TEXAS. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT ON TUESDAY BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CWA THROUGH FRIDAY AS
LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST
TEXAS CONTINUES TO PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE 500MB RIDGE ACROSS DRAPED
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IN
ADDITION...CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL
WEAKEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE BELOW NORMAL MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
PATCHY LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
GENERALLY SOUTHEAST OF A SONORA TO SAN SABA LINE. CARRYING
MVFR CEILING AT KJCT 12Z-15Z, WITH JUST A SCATTERED MENTION AT
KSOA. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. SOMEWHAT GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS INITIALLY WILL
DECREASE DURING THE EVENING, AND WINDS WILL VEER A BIT TO THE
SOUTH TOWARD MORNING. ON SUNDAY, SOUTH OUR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE BY 15Z. GUSTS 17-20 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
MORNING TO MIDDAY, MAINLY AT KABI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 75 97 75 95 / 0 0 10 30
SAN ANGELO 73 97 73 95 / 0 0 0 10
JUNCTION 70 96 71 93 / 0 0 0 10
BROWNWOOD 73 96 73 95 / 0 0 0 20
SWEETWATER 75 98 75 96 / 10 0 10 30
OZONA 72 95 72 91 / 0 0 0 10
BRADY 71 95 72 93 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....61
AVIATION...19
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