720
FXUS64 KSJT 290528
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1228 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ALONG WITH A THERMAL RIDGE IN PLACE ACROSS
PART OF THE REGION WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES AND MINIMAL CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DESPITE
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON, CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE SLIM TO
NONE DUE TO THE CAPPED AIRMASS IN PLACE. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE 70S, AND AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHERLY IN GENERAL AND BREEZY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, BEFORE BECOMING BREEZY AGAIN BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
..RAIN CHANCES RETURN MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE MONDAY
BEFORE STALLING JUST NORTHWEST OF THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY MONDAY AND THE REST OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS MON NIGHT AS LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO AND NORTHWEST TEXAS. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT ON TUESDAY BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CWA THROUGH FRIDAY AS
LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST
TEXAS CONTINUES TO PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE 500MB RIDGE ACROSS DRAPED
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IN
ADDITION...CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL
WEAKEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE BELOW NORMAL MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
GENERALLY VFR FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT WITH RAGGED MVFR CEILINGS
TOWARD SUNRISE AROUND SONORA AND JUNCTION. ANY CEILINGS SHOULD
BURN OFF BY 15Z. SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD INCREASE AFTER 15Z WITH
SOME GUSTS OVER 20KT AT TIMES THROUGH ABOUT 00Z, DECREASING
THEREAFTER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 97 75 95 72 / 0 10 30 40
SAN ANGELO 97 73 94 71 / 0 10 20 40
JUNCTION 96 71 93 69 / 0 0 20 20
BROWNWOOD 96 73 95 72 / 0 0 20 30
SWEETWATER 98 75 97 72 / 10 10 30 50
OZONA 94 72 91 70 / 0 0 10 30
BRADY 95 71 93 70 / 0 0 10 20
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....61
AVIATION...SK
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