519
FXUS64 KSJT 290558
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1258 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ALONG WITH A THERMAL RIDGE IN PLACE ACROSS
PART OF THE REGION WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES AND MINIMAL CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DESPITE
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON, CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE SLIM TO
NONE DUE TO THE CAPPED AIRMASS IN PLACE. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE 70S, AND AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHERLY IN GENERAL AND BREEZY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, BEFORE BECOMING BREEZY AGAIN BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1258 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
GENERAL UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FROM MONDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER, A RELATIVE WEAKNESS IN THE
RIDGE WILL HOVER AROUND THE WESTERN HALF OF TEXAS THROUGH MOST OF
THE WEEK. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH
TOWARD OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. THIS FRONT, ALONG WITH THE WEAKNESS
IN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS, WITH THE
BEST CHANCES GENERALLY NORTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO SAN SABA LINE.
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS LAYING DOWN OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, AND THE
UPPER LEVEL WEAKNESS REMAINING IN THE AREA, 20% TO 30% CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK. AND ALTHOUGH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION LIE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT,
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN LOCATION OF THE BEST CHANCES THE REST OF THE
WEEK DUE TO THE DISORGANIZED AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL PATTERN AS WELL
AS THE POTENTIAL FOR MESSY PATTERN OF SURFACE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
DUE TO THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES, ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER, LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE, AND SLIGHTLY LOWER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS, AFTERNOON
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL THROUGH MOST
OF THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
GENERALLY VFR FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT WITH RAGGED MVFR CEILINGS
TOWARD SUNRISE AROUND SONORA AND JUNCTION. ANY CEILINGS SHOULD
BURN OFF BY 15Z. SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD INCREASE AFTER 15Z WITH
SOME GUSTS OVER 20KT AT TIMES THROUGH ABOUT 00Z, DECREASING
THEREAFTER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 97 75 95 72 / 0 10 30 40
SAN ANGELO 97 73 94 71 / 0 10 20 40
JUNCTION 96 71 93 69 / 0 0 20 20
BROWNWOOD 96 73 95 72 / 0 0 20 30
SWEETWATER 98 75 97 72 / 10 10 30 50
OZONA 94 72 91 70 / 0 0 10 30
BRADY 95 71 93 70 / 0 0 10 20
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...SK
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page