441  
FXUS64 KSJT 301821  
AFDSJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX  
121 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
 
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HILL  
COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND BIG COUNTRY TONIGHT.  
 
- A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE SEVERE WIND GUSTS TODAY.  
 
- ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS WELL.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE TROPICAL STORM  
BARRY ARE RESULTING IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS  
SOUTH TEXAS. THIS SLUG OF MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO PUSH  
NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING,  
RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THIS  
ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING. THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE  
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY, IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT  
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND  
NORTH OF THE BIG COUNTRY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH THIS  
ACTIVITY DECREASING IN COVERAGE TUESDAY MORNING. A FEW STRONG TO  
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN  
CONCERNS. IN ADDITION, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT  
LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.  
 
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE  
ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHER CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF  
THE AREA, CLOSER TO THE REMNANT COLD FRONT. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE  
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. INCREASING CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH POSSIBLE  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES BELOW  
SEASONAL NORMALS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 122 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
ON TUESDAY, THE DISORGANIZED REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
BARRY ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH OUR AREA FROM THE SOUTH TEXAS  
REGION. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH BOUNDARIES LAID DOWN BY  
TODAY'S EXPECTED CONVECTION, ALONG WITH PLENTIFUL MOISTURE  
(PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES), TO BRING A CHANCE  
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR  
PRECIPITATION CURRENTLY APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF  
THE AREA, BASED ON THE EXPECTED PATH OF THE TROUGH INTO THE  
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND LOWER TRANS PECOS. ANOTHER WEAK  
INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON  
INTO THURSDAY MORNING, AGAIN BRINGING SHORTWAVE ENERGY THAT COULD  
RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE  
AGAIN, BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL LIE ACROSS THE  
WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE OF  
THIS ACTIVITY, NOT ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE PRECIPITATION. THE MAIN  
HAZARD WITH THE PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY  
RAINFALL, BUT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY UNDER  
THESE RELATIVE WEAKNESSES WITHIN BROADER RIDGING, DUE TO ADDED  
CLOUD COVER, AND OBVIOUSLY THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN-COOLED AIR.  
 
AS WE MOVE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND,  
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD BACK INTO THE AREA,  
DECREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND,  
AND BRINGING BACK WARMER TEMPERATURES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY AFFECTING KABI. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS  
ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY, BUT  
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS. MVFR  
CEILINGS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AT KSOA TUESDAY MORNING. VFR  
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MID TO LATE MORNING. EXPECT SOUTH TO  
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, TO DECREASE  
BELOW 10 KNOTS THIS EVENING.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
ABILENE 71 91 73 91 / 40 20 20 20  
SAN ANGELO 70 88 70 86 / 30 20 20 30  
JUNCTION 68 89 70 87 / 20 30 20 30  
BROWNWOOD 71 93 72 92 / 20 20 10 10  
SWEETWATER 70 89 72 89 / 60 30 20 30  
OZONA 68 82 68 82 / 30 30 30 40  
BRADY 69 91 70 89 / 10 20 10 20  
 
 
   
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...DANIELS  
LONG TERM....20  
AVIATION...DANIELS  
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