854
FXUS64 KSJT 191126 AAA
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
626 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 202 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF, AND
WILL BE OUR MAIN WEATHER INFLUENCE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL MOVE WEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. EXPECT ANY
ASSOCIATED SHOWERS WITH THIS SYSTEM TO STAY EAST/SOUTHEAST OF OUR
AREA. SKIES OVER OUR AREA WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURES ARE ON A SLOW WARMING TREND AND EXPECT HIGHS THIS
AFTERNOON TO BE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S IN THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF OUR AREA, IN THE MID 90S ACROSS OUR CENTRAL COUNTIES, AND
IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S IN THE BIG COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. INCREASED SOUTH WINDS WITH SOMEWHAT
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE PREDOMINATE INFLUENCE ON
OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE LONG TERM- ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN
THE RIDGE MAY ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE, WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR OUR AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY. AS SUCH RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SLIM TO NONE THROUGH
THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH ANY APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES STAYING TO OUR
WEST. HIGHS WILL BE WARMEST ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND
NORTHWESTERN CONCHO VALLEY- UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES, WITH
LOWER TO MID 90S ELSEWHERE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
PATCHY LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
PART OF OUR AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE KJCT TAF COULD HAVE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS, AND HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO LOW CLOUD GROUP TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DISTURBANCE
ALOFT WHICH IS TRACKING WEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS DISTURBANCE
IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN, BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR ITS PROGRESS.
CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW ASSOCIATED SHOWERS DEVELOPING OR MOVING
INTO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES, BUT EXPECT MOST OF THESE TO BE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15
KNOTS BY MID-TO-LATE MORNING WITH HIGHER GUSTS, AND FOR THESE
WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE DECREASING.
EXPECT GUSTS OF 20-25 KNOTS KABI AND KSJT, 17-19 KNOTS AT OUR
SOUTHERN TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 97 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 95 73 93 74 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 93 73 91 72 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 94 74 93 73 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 98 75 98 75 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 93 72 90 72 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 93 73 90 72 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...19
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