015
FXUS64 KSJT 191717
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1217 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 202 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF, AND
WILL BE OUR MAIN WEATHER INFLUENCE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL MOVE WEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. EXPECT ANY
ASSOCIATED SHOWERS WITH THIS SYSTEM TO STAY EAST/SOUTHEAST OF OUR
AREA. SKIES OVER OUR AREA WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURES ARE ON A SLOW WARMING TREND AND EXPECT HIGHS THIS
AFTERNOON TO BE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S IN THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF OUR AREA, IN THE MID 90S ACROSS OUR CENTRAL COUNTIES, AND
IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S IN THE BIG COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. INCREASED SOUTH WINDS WITH SOMEWHAT
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE PREDOMINATE INFLUENCE ON
OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE LONG TERM- ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN
THE RIDGE MAY ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE, WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR OUR AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY. AS SUCH RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SLIM TO NONE THROUGH
THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH ANY APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES STAYING TO OUR
WEST. HIGHS WILL BE WARMEST ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND
NORTHWESTERN CONCHO VALLEY- UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES, WITH
LOWER TO MID 90S ELSEWHERE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. THE
MAIN IMPACT AT LOCAL AERODROMES CURRENTLY IS THE BREEZY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH A FEW WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KNOTS. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
EVEN AS A WEAK 500MB LOW ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS MOVES VERY LITTLE
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW MAY PRODUCE SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 75 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 74 94 74 93 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 72 92 72 93 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 74 94 73 94 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 75 97 75 98 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 73 91 72 90 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 73 91 72 91 / 0 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...61
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