573  
FXUS64 KSJT 071838  
AFDSJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX  
138 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
   
..NEW LONG TERM
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- HEAT ADVISORY BIG COUNTRY FRIDAY NOON TO 8 PM...  
 
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.  
 
- NOT QUITE AS HOT FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A FEW ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)  
ISSUED AT 122 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
 
TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH OR EQUAL 105 IN THE  
BIG COUNTRY ALONG/NORTH OF I-20 FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THUS ADDED A  
HEAT ADVISORY. FARTHER SOUTH, HIGHS IN THE 100 TO 103 RANGE ARE  
EXPECTED IN THE CONCHO VALLEY AND COLEMAN AND BROWN COUNTIES,  
WITH UPPER 90S ELSEWHERE.  
 
THIS AFTERNOON, A NICE CUMULUS FIELD HAD DEVELOPED ALONG THE I-10  
CORRIDOR. WHILE A BRIEF SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS  
AFTERNOON, COVERAGE WILL BE SPARSE, IF STORMS OCCUR. LOWS TONIGHT  
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S EXPECTED, WITH THE WARMER READINGS ALONG  
AND NORTH OF I-20.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 137 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
 
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE LAST HOT DAY FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FOR  
THIS STRETCH, WITH THE DOMINANT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FORECASTED TO  
BREAK DOWN STARTING ON SUNDAY. THIS ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO COOL,  
WITH HIGHS IN THE 97 TO 103 RANGE ON SATURDAY COOLING INTO THE MID  
AND UPPER 90S FOR SUNDAY AND THEN LOW TO MID 90S FOR MONDAY.  
PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION REVEALS THIS TREND AS WELL, WITH MEDIUM  
TO HIGH CHANCES (60-90%) OF 100+ DEGREE TEMPERATURES FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON DROPPING TO MEDIUM CHANCES (30-60%) BY SATURDAY, AND  
THEN LOW CHANCES (LESS THAN 20%) BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
AS MENTIONED YESTERDAY, BREAKDOWN OF THE UPPER RIDGE FOR EARLY  
NEXT WEEK IS A TYPICAL PATTERN WHERE WE SEE AT LEAST A FEW  
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS ACROSS THE AREA. LATEST MODEL BLENDS  
ARE SHOWING SOME OF THIS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON, BRINGING SOME LOW  
POPS INT THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA SOUTHEAST OF A SAN  
SABA TO MENARD TO SONORA LINE. ONCE WE GET CLOSER AND GET A BETTER  
VIEW WITH SOME OF THE CAMS, SUSPECT THAT SMALL POPS WILL BE  
EXPANDED OVER A MUCH LARGER PORTION OF THE AREA FOR MONDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
 
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT THE RIDGE WILL START TO REASSERT ITSELF  
FOR LATER PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK AND TEMPERATURES WILL START TO  
INCH THEIR WAY BACK TOWARDS THE 100 MARK IN SOME AREAS ONCE AGAIN.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
 
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. AT KABI AND KSJT, SOUTH WIND GUSTS 18-20 KTS  
THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE MORNING FRIDAY.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ABILENE 75 102 76 100 / 0 0 0 0  
SAN ANGELO 73 99 72 98 / 0 0 0 0  
JUNCTION 71 98 71 97 / 0 0 0 0  
BROWNWOOD 72 99 73 98 / 0 0 0 0  
SWEETWATER 75 104 76 102 / 0 0 0 0  
OZONA 72 97 71 97 / 0 0 0 0  
BRADY 73 96 72 95 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR CALLAHAN-FISHER-  
HASKELL-JONES-NOLAN-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...04  
LONG TERM....07  
AVIATION...04  
 
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