867
FXUS64 KSJT 100542
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1242 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
- NOT AS HOT NEXT WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
ANOTHER HOT DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO
AROUND 100. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE 100 ACROSS MAINLY THE BIG COUNTRY
AND NORTHWEST CONCHO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE FOLLOW HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER
SUNDAY DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEAKENING. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE MID 90S TO AROUND 103 ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHWEST
CONCHO VALLEY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
ON MONDAY, THE WEAK TROPICAL UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY JUST OFF THE
TEXAS COAST WILL HAVE MOVED INTO SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. FROM MONDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, THE UPPER LOW WILL BE WEDGED BETWEEN A
RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U. S., AND ANOTHER RIDGE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN U. S., CAUSING IT TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY, WHILE
SLOWLY WEAKENING OVER THE REGION. WITH THE LOW OVER THE AREA, WE
WILL HAVE A 20% TO 40% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH THE BEST CHANCES TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE WILL BE READILY AVAILABLE FOR
EFFICIENT THUNDERSTORMS, WITH PW VALUES IN THE 1.5" RANGE, SO IN
ADDITION TO POTENTIALLY GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING,
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING COULD BE AN ISSUE WITH ANY OF
THESE STORMS. WITH LOWER HEIGHTS, HIGHER SURFACE MOISTURE, AND
POTENTIALLY MORE CLOUD COVER, TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A BIT COOLER
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
FROM WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, A GENERALLY DRIER FORECAST IS
EXPECTED AS RIDGING GRADUALLY SPREADS WESTWARD INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM BACK UP INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100
DEGREES BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, WITH GUSTS AROUND 17 TO 22
KTS FOR KABI AND KSJT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 103 76 100 74 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 100 73 99 72 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 98 70 97 71 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 99 73 96 72 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 104 76 102 74 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 99 72 97 71 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 96 72 94 72 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...AP
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