420
FXUS64 KSJT 100549
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1249 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
- NOT AS HOT NEXT WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
ANOTHER HOT DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO
AROUND 100. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE 100 ACROSS MAINLY THE BIG COUNTRY
AND NORTHWEST CONCHO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE FOLLOW HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER
SUNDAY DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEAKENING. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE MID 90S TO AROUND 103 ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHWEST
CONCHO VALLEY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
LATEST MODEL BLENDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE POPS FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BREAKS DOWN
AND ALLOWS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO SLIDE INTO TEXAS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP, FOCUSED ON
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT SLIDES SOUTH OUT OF THE
PANHANDLE AND PROVIDES A LITTLE ADDITIONAL FOCUS. BEYOND THE RANGE
OF MOST OF THE CAMS AT THIS POINT, BUT THE LATEST NAMNEST DOES
SHOW A DECENT AREA OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS MOVING
SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE BIG COUNTRY MONDAY EVENING INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. PWAT VALES ARE 1.5 TO 1.75 SO CLOSE TO
NORMAL AND NOT TROPICAL AIR MASS TYPE OF VALUES, SO FAIRLY TYPICAL
TYPE OF SUMMER THUNDERSTORM DOWNPOURS ARE THE LIKELY RESULT.
ALONG WITH THE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES, MORE CLOUD COVER AND THE
ABSENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HIGHS TO DROP DOWN
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. UPPER HIGH BUILDING BACK INTO THE AREA WILL
ALLOW FOR A WARMING TREND BY LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AND
SOME PORTIONS OF THE AREA INCHING BACK UP TOWARDS THE 100 DEGREE
MARK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, WITH GUSTS AROUND 17 TO 22
KTS FOR KABI AND KSJT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 100 74 97 72 / 0 0 20 20
SAN ANGELO 99 72 96 71 / 0 0 20 20
JUNCTION 97 71 95 70 / 0 0 20 10
BROWNWOOD 96 72 95 71 / 0 0 20 10
SWEETWATER 102 74 97 72 / 0 10 30 30
OZONA 97 71 94 71 / 0 0 20 20
BRADY 94 72 92 71 / 0 0 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...AP
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