945
FXUS64 KSJT 101751
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1251 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- NOT AS HOT THIS WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS OUR AREA TODAY.
HOWEVER, AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN. HIGHS
WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR TO
THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 103 DEGREES IN THE CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG
COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LIFT FROM THE SHORT-WAVE WILL
COMBINE WITH INCREASING MOISTURE (PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASING TO
AROUND 1.6 TO 1.8 INCHES DURING THE DAY TUESDAY) AND INSTABILITY
TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BIG COUNTRY
MONDAY EVENING, AND THEN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAKNESS ALOFT AND
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WHICH
WILL CONTINUE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON BOTH THOSE DAYS. IT LOOKS LIKE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WHICH WOULD DECREASE THE CHANCES FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/STORMS DUE TO INCREASED SUBSIDENCE (DOWNWARD
MOTION).
MEANWHILE, EXPECT IT TO NOT BE AS HOT TUESDAY DUE TO WEAKENING OF
THE 850 MB THERMAL RIDGE AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER, WITH HIGHS
TUESDAY IN THE LOW 90S. SHOULD START TO SEE A WARMING TREND
STARTING WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH NEXT
SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS REACHING BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY
THURSDAY AND PERHAPS TOUCHING 100 IN SOME LOCATIONS DURING THE
WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILD (UPPER 60S TO
LOW 70S) AS SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
KEEP CONDITIONS HUMID DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS AT MAINLY THE
KABI TERMINAL THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 97 72 93 / 0 20 20 30
SAN ANGELO 72 96 71 92 / 0 10 20 30
JUNCTION 70 95 70 94 / 0 10 10 40
BROWNWOOD 72 94 71 91 / 0 10 10 40
SWEETWATER 75 98 71 93 / 0 20 30 40
OZONA 72 96 71 93 / 0 10 10 30
BRADY 72 93 71 91 / 0 10 10 30
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....SJH
AVIATION...21
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