253  
FXUS64 KSJT 102321  
AFDSJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX  
621 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- NOT AS HOT THIS WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 103 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025  
 
ANOTHER HOT DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO  
AROUND 100. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE 100 ACROSS MAINLY THE BIG COUNTRY  
AND NORTHWEST CONCHO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE FOLLOW HEAT  
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES A BE COOLER MONDAY DUE TO  
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEAKENING. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER  
90S. THE CAM GUIDANCE IS INDICATING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN BIG COUNTRY LATE MONDAY  
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, GOING WITH A DRY FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24  
HOURS.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH ACROSS NORTH TEXAS  
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LIFT FROM THE SHORT-WAVE WILL  
COMBINE WITH INCREASING MOISTURE (PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASING TO  
AROUND 1.6 TO 1.8 INCHES DURING THE DAY TUESDAY) AND INSTABILITY  
TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BIG COUNTRY  
MONDAY EVENING, AND THEN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS  
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAKNESS ALOFT AND  
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WHICH  
WILL CONTINUE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON BOTH THOSE DAYS. IT LOOKS LIKE UPPER  
LEVEL RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE REGION FRIDAY  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WHICH WOULD DECREASE THE CHANCES FOR  
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/STORMS DUE TO INCREASED SUBSIDENCE (DOWNWARD  
MOTION).  
 
MEANWHILE, EXPECT IT TO NOT BE AS HOT TUESDAY DUE TO WEAKENING OF  
THE 850 MB THERMAL RIDGE AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER, WITH HIGHS  
TUESDAY IN THE LOW 90S. SHOULD START TO SEE A WARMING TREND  
STARTING WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH NEXT  
SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS REACHING BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY  
THURSDAY AND PERHAPS TOUCHING 100 IN SOME LOCATIONS DURING THE  
WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILD (UPPER 60S TO  
LOW 70S) AS SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO  
KEEP CONDITIONS HUMID DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 619 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025  
 
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH KABI TOWARDS THE END OF TAF  
PERIOD, BUT LEFT OUT DUE TO LOW POTENTIAL. OTHERWISE, VFR  
CONDITIONS THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND 12 KTS  
OR LESS.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
ABILENE 74 97 72 93 / 0 20 20 30  
SAN ANGELO 72 96 71 92 / 0 10 20 30  
JUNCTION 70 95 70 94 / 0 10 10 40  
BROWNWOOD 72 95 71 92 / 0 10 10 40  
SWEETWATER 75 98 71 93 / 0 20 30 40  
OZONA 72 95 71 92 / 0 10 10 30  
BRADY 72 93 71 91 / 0 10 10 30  
 
 
   
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...21  
LONG TERM....SJH  
AVIATION...04  
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