948
FXUS64 KSJT 131056
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
556 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS.
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- MAINLY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 148 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
THE BASE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL EXTEND
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CONCHO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY, A MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
PARTICULARLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. HIGH RES MODELS
SHOW ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. THE
HIGHEST POPS WILL LIE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OR TWO
WILL LIKELY KICK OFF SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE MAIN HAZARDS
WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS. STORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY THE EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. OTHERWISE, EXPECT HIGHS TODAY GENERALLY IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S, WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL GENERALLY SHIFT
TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL LARGELY
KEEP HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S. OTHERWISE, THIS RIDGE COULD SHIFT FAR
ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR A LOW CHANCE (20%) FOR AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, MOST LOCATIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 550 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE A PROB30 AT ALL TERMINALS EXPECT KABI.
ANY ACTIVITY SHOULD DISISPATE BY THE EVENING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 94 73 99 76 / 10 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 93 72 96 74 / 20 10 20 10
JUNCTION 93 71 95 71 / 50 20 30 10
BROWNWOOD 93 72 96 73 / 30 10 20 10
SWEETWATER 95 73 99 76 / 10 0 10 0
OZONA 93 71 95 73 / 30 10 20 10
BRADY 91 71 93 73 / 30 10 30 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...42
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