156
FXUS64 KSJT 131821
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
121 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS.
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- MAINLY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
THIS AFTERNOON, AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED ACROSS THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST, WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF TEXAS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN
CONCERN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. MOST
OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY EVENING. EXPECT OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT TOWARD NORTH TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN HOTTER AND DRIER
CONDITIIONS ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BUT
OVERALL EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. HIGHS WILL BE HOTTEST ACROSS
THE BIG COUNTRY WHERE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 102
ARE FORECAST. ELSEWHERE, EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL GENERALLY SHIFT
TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL LARGELY
KEEP HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S. OTHERWISE, THIS RIDGE COULD SHIFT FAR
ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR A LOW CHANCE (20%) FOR AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, MOST LOCATIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AT ALL SITES EXCEPT KABI, WHICH MAY RESULT
IN BRIEF GUSTY GUSTY WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 100 76 98 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 72 97 75 97 / 10 10 0 10
JUNCTION 71 95 72 95 / 10 20 10 10
BROWNWOOD 71 96 74 96 / 0 10 0 10
SWEETWATER 74 100 76 99 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 71 96 73 94 / 10 10 0 10
BRADY 72 94 72 93 / 10 20 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...DANIELS
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