975
FXUS64 KSJT 030659
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
159 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 153 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025
HIGHER PRESSURE STARTS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, WHICH
WILL LEAVE MOSTLY QUIET WEATHER IN PLACE. HIGHS WILL INDEED WARM
UP HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 90S FOR THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH IS PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL
(96 DEGREES) FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LOWS FOR TONIGHT WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 153 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL RESULT IN HOT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW 850MB TEMPERATURES
APPROACHING 25 TO 28 CELSIUS, WITH FORECAST AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S TO NEAR 103. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST
ON FRIDAY, BUT STILL EXPECT HIGHS WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. HIGHS
ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100.
A PATTERN CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. TROPICAL
STORM LORENA IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, ALONG
THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THEN BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
INDICATE THIS SYSTEM TRACKING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA
AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. MEANWHILE, A COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. THE
COMBINATION OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM LORENA AND THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING
RAIN CHANCES TO THE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEKEND. EXACTLY HOW MUCH
RAIN WE SEE WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM
AND EXACTLY HOW FAR SOUTH THE COLD FRONT MAKES IT. TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL
NORMALS, WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S TO NEAR 90 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF
PERIOD. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 94 70 102 76 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 93 66 99 73 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 94 62 99 70 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 93 64 100 70 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 95 72 101 76 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 93 66 96 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 91 66 97 71 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....DANIELS
AVIATION...41
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