558
FXUS64 KSJT 112303 AAA
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
THE WARM SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED OVER WEST TEXAS TODAY, AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY AND WARM, WITH HIGHS
AGAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ON FRIDAY, AND LOWS IN THE MID 60S
TO NEAR 70. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTHERLY AT 5 TO 15 MPH, WITH
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES, ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LOW
CLOUDS TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING
THE MORNING HOURS FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
CONTINUED WARM AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.
THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY SATURDAY AS THE ITS CENTER MOVES
INTO EAST TEXAS. AN ISOLATED AND AN ISOLATED SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE,
MAINLY IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY.
MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS COULD AGAIN BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM,
BUT CHANCES ARE AGAIN SCARCE, AS WEAK UPPER RIDGING LARGELY REMAINS
IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SIMILAR INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH
MID 90S IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S TO THE SOUTH.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR GOING INTO TONIGHT. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
INDICATIONS FROM ONE OF THE SHORT-RANGE MODELS SUGGESTS THAT OUR
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES SHOULD HAVE A LITTLE MORE
COVERAGE OF LOW CLOUDS IN THE 11Z-15Z TIME FRAME FRIDAY MORNING,
COMPARED TO WHAT OCCURRED THIS MORNING. CARRYING MVFR CEILINGS AT
KSOA AND KJCT, WITH A TEMPO INCLUSION AT KBBD. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE INITIALLY SOMEWHAT GUSTY EARLY THIS
EVENING, BUT WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TOWARD SUNSET. ON FRIDAY,
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 8-12 KNOTS BY MID-TO-LATE
MORNING. OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 18-21 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 69 95 69 94 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 66 93 66 92 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 65 92 63 92 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 67 94 66 93 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 68 95 68 93 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 66 90 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
BRADY 67 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...19
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