702
FXUS64 KSJT 120509
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1209 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE WEST OF A SWEETWATER TO
STERLING CITY LINE THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, CONTINUED DRY AND
WARM.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
THE WARM SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED OVER WEST TEXAS TODAY, AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY AND WARM, WITH HIGHS
AGAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ON FRIDAY, AND LOWS IN THE MID 60S
TO NEAR 70. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTHERLY AT 5 TO 15 MPH, WITH
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES, ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LOW
CLOUDS TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING
THE MORNING HOURS FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1207 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SLIDES TO THE EAST FOR THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS PUTS WESTERN
TEXAS INTO A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND HELPS PULLS BETTER UPPER
LEVEL NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. BY SATURDAY, ACTUALLY HAVE HIGHER
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OVER WEST TEXAS THAN OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. MODELS HAVE A SHORTWAVE ROTATING THROUGH
THE BOTTOM SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. CAMS ARE STARTING TO REACH OUT THAT FAR, WITH THE
HRRR AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE NAMNEST SHOWING CONVECTION ACROSS
THE PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTH PLAINS WITH A LITTLE OF IT REACHING
INTO THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY AND WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY BEFORE THE
CONVECTION DISSIPATES. WILL CARRY SOME SMALL POPS WEST OF A
SWEETWATER TO STERLING CITY LINE FOR BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY,
ALTHOUGH AGAIN THIS MEANS THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL
REMAIN DRY.
AS WE MENTIONED YESTERDAY, THERE'S LITTLE CHANGE IN AIR MASS SO
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT CHANGE VERY MUCH EITHER. HIGHS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S, WITH MORNING LOWS MAINLY IN THE MID
AND UPPER 60S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
MORNING MVFR STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 12Z THIS MORNING
ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR BUT SHOULD BURN OFF BETWEEN 15-17Z. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD FOLLOW WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND
10KT THIS AFTERNOON. SOME GUSTS NEAR 20KT COULD OCCUR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 95 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 93 66 91 68 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 92 63 91 66 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 94 66 93 67 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 94 69 94 71 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 90 67 89 67 / 0 0 10 0
BRADY 91 65 91 67 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...SK
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