178
FXUS64 KSJT 150452
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1152 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW CHANCE (20%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON,
MAINLY NORTH OF I-20.
- LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING MAINLY ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES. ONE OR TWO STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE GIVEN
MODERATE INSTABILITY, BUT MOST STORMS WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. A FEW OF THE CAMS INDICATE ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING
AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. MOST
OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY THOUGH. OTHERWISE, HIGHS ON MONDAY
WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. WE CURRENTLY
HAVE AN OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CONUS, WITH STUBBORN RIDGING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION, AND
UPPER LOWS EITHER SIDE, WITH ONE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS, AND THE
OTHER OFF THE FL/GA COAST. THE RIDGING WILL SLOWLY BREAK DOWN
THIS WEEK AS THE WESTERN TROUGH MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS DURING THE MIDDLE TO SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. AS THE TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH, WE WILL SEE LOW CHANCES (20%-30%) FOR
PRECIPITATION MAINLY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, ALTHOUGH WE
MAY SEE SOME LINGERING CHANCES INTO THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IS
LOW IN THESE RAIN CHANCES LATER THIS WEEK, AND ESPECIALLY NEXT
WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM, WITH
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 80S TO THE LOWER 90S, AND LOWS MAINLY
IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 612 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT ALL
SITES. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS WITH A FEW
GUSTS AROUND 15 KNOTS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE ARE A FEW
SHRA NEAR KABI AT THIS HOUR, BUT THESE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 92 70 93 69 / 20 10 10 0
SAN ANGELO 89 68 92 67 / 20 10 0 0
JUNCTION 91 65 91 64 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 93 68 92 67 / 0 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 90 68 92 69 / 40 20 10 10
OZONA 86 67 89 65 / 20 10 0 0
BRADY 89 67 89 67 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...20
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