128
FXUS64 KSJT 151126
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
626 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW CHANCE (20%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON,
MAINLY NORTH OF I-20.
- LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 108 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE THAT BROUGHT SOME RAIN SHOWERS TO WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS LIFTED UP TO THE NORTH TONIGHT. THE
MAIN AXIS OF THIS TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA
TODAY. AS A RESULT, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE CONFINED TO THE BIG COUNTRY
THIS AFTERNOON WHERE THE BEST INSTABILITY WILL BE. ANY SHOWERS OR
STORMS SHOULD BE VERY SCATTERED IN NATURE AND SHOULD DIMINISH JUST
AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE, HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
LOW 90S AREA-WIDE TODAY WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. WE CURRENTLY
HAVE AN OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CONUS, WITH STUBBORN RIDGING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION, AND
UPPER LOWS EITHER SIDE, WITH ONE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS, AND THE
OTHER OFF THE FL/GA COAST. THE RIDGING WILL SLOWLY BREAK DOWN
THIS WEEK AS THE WESTERN TROUGH MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS DURING THE MIDDLE TO SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. AS THE TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH, WE WILL SEE LOW CHANCES (20%-30%) FOR
PRECIPITATION MAINLY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, ALTHOUGH WE
MAY SEE SOME LINGERING CHANCES INTO THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IS
LOW IN THESE RAIN CHANCES LATER THIS WEEK, AND ESPECIALLY NEXT
WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM, WITH
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 80S TO THE LOWER 90S, AND LOWS MAINLY
IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS LOOK TO INCREASE TO AROUND 10KT THIS AFTERNOON
WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15. THERE IS A LOW (<20%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
THIS AFTERNOON NORTHEAST OF ABI, BUT THIS WAS NOT INCLUDED IN THE
TAF DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 93 69 92 69 / 10 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 92 67 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 91 64 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 92 67 91 66 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 92 69 91 68 / 10 10 10 0
OZONA 89 65 88 65 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 89 67 88 67 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...SK
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