488
FXUS64 KSJT 151834
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
134 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW CHANCE (20%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON,
MAINLY NORTH OF I-20.
- LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY STARTING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY THE
BIG COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. DRY CONDITIIONS ARE
FORECAST TO PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO SUPPRESSES ANY
CONVECTION. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S. THE AFOREMENTIONED
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL RESULT IN HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ON
TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMALS, IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOWER 90S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. ON
WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO SIT OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK, BEFORE PUSHING OFF TO THE EAST LATE
THIS WEEKEND. WITH THIS LOW TO OUR NORTH AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
TO OUR SOUTHEAST, WE'LL SEE GENERALLY NORTHWEST/WEST WINDS ALOFT,
WHICH WILL BRING THROUGH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES. AT
THE SURFACE, A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE AREA
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS ON
TEMPERATURES, BUT IT COULD HELP FOCUS RAIN CHANCES A BIT. WITH THESE
TWO SYSTEMS, ISOLATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOONS FROM
THURSDAY INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY AND RAINFALL ARE
NOT EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH WINDS
OF 8 TO 12 KNOTS WILL BECOME LIGHT THIS EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 70 91 68 93 / 0 10 0 10
SAN ANGELO 66 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 64 90 63 91 / 0 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 67 91 66 92 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 69 90 68 92 / 0 10 0 0
OZONA 65 88 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 67 89 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...DANIELS
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