119
FXUS64 KSJT 160526
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1226 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM, BUT NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY
- LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY STARTING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY THE
BIG COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. DRY CONDITIIONS ARE
FORECAST TO PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO SUPPRESSES ANY
CONVECTION. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S. THE AFOREMENTIONED
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL RESULT IN HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ON
TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMALS, IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOWER 90S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL U.S.
ON WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO SIT OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK, BEFORE PUSHING OFF TO THE
EAST LATE THIS WEEKEND. WITH THIS LOW TO OUR NORTH AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING TO OUR SOUTHEAST, WE'LL SEE GENERALLY
NORTHWEST/WEST WINDS ALOFT, WHICH WILL BRING THROUGH A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES. AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS FRONT
WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS ON TEMPERATURES, BUT IT COULD HELP FOCUS
RAIN CHANCES A BIT. WITH THESE TWO SYSTEMS, ISOLATED CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOONS FROM THURSDAY INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER,
WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY AND RAINFALL ARE NOT EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10KT AT MOST
LOCATIONS BY LATE MORNING FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST, BEFORE
WEAKENING IN THE EVENING. OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 15KT ARE POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 92 68 93 70 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 90 66 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 91 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 91 66 92 67 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 91 68 91 69 / 10 0 0 0
OZONA 88 64 88 66 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 88 66 88 66 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...SK
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