906
FXUS64 KSJT 160621
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
121 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM, BUT NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY
- LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY STARTING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 121 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
EARLY THIS MORNING, SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR AS BROAD HIGH PRESSURE
WAS IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S WITH LIGHT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING HAS BUILT IN ACROSS
THE MAJORITY OF TEXAS AS THE REGION LIES BETWEEN TWO UPPER LOWS,
OVER THE ROCKIES AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST US. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. FAIR WEATHER IS THEREFORE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE. THE
AIRMASS IS ABOUT THE SAME AS IT HAS BEEN THE PAST FEW DAYS SO HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW 90S ONCE AGAIN. ASIDE
FROM SOME SCATTERED MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVERNIGHT, SKIES SHOULD BE
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO THE
MID TO UPPER 60S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 121 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
THE COMBINATION OF WEAK INSTABILITY, TROPICAL MOISTURE(PW VALUES
1.25 TO 1.5 INCHES) AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING LOW
CHANCES(20-30%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE
LONG TERM. MOST AREAS WILL NOT SEE ANY RAINFALL. THE BEST POTENTIAL
FOR GREATER THAN 1/2 OF AN INCH WILL BE ACROSS THE HEARTLAND.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NO SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONTS ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10KT AT MOST
LOCATIONS BY LATE MORNING FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST, BEFORE
WEAKENING IN THE EVENING. OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 15KT ARE POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 92 68 93 70 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 90 66 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 91 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 91 66 92 67 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 91 68 91 69 / 10 0 0 0
OZONA 88 64 88 66 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 88 66 88 66 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...SK
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