662
FXUS64 KSJT 040641
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
141 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
A FEW MINOR CHANGES ARE EXPECTED IN OUR WEATHER TODAY (COMPARED TO
THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS), BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOUT THE
SAME. HIGHS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY 90-93 DEGREES, WITH A
FEW UPPER 80S IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE OVER WEST AND NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL
WEAKEN TODAY, AS AN UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES. OUR
AREA WILL HAVE SOME INCREASE IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY WITH
AN INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS TO OCCUR AS A SURFACE
LOW DEEPENS FROM NORTHEASTERN COLORADO ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA, AS
THE LEADING PORTION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH LIFTS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. SHOULD HAVE SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS OVER OUR
AREA AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASE A BIT WITH THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST LOW-LEVEL FLOW. LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY, BEFORE RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE SLIGHTLY FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUOUS WARM, MOIST AIR ADVECTION
NEXT WEEK. THIS COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND A WEAK FRONT COULD
BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WEAK FRONT MOVING INTO NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT COULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA. HOWEVER, WITH THE LACK OF UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT AND RELATIVELY WEAK NATURE OF THE FRONT, RAIN CHANCES
WILL REMAIN LOW FOR NOW (<30%). SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 5-9 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AT KABI AND
KSJT, WHILE OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS. ON
SATURDAY, SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE BY MID-MORNING AT
OUR TAF SITES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE HIGHER WIND
SPEEDS (9-12 KNOTS) ARE EXPECTED AT KABI, WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 91 66 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 89 63 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 90 61 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 90 62 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 90 65 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 87 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 87 63 88 64 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...19
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