084
FXUS64 KSJT 041744
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1244 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
- POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND,
WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE PERIOD. NEAR
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING IN THE MID 80S TO LOW
90S. SOME BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER
THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING, THEN DIMINISH TONIGHT AND
INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY, BEFORE RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE SLIGHTLY FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUOUS WARM, MOIST AIR ADVECTION
NEXT WEEK. THIS COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND A WEAK FRONT COULD
BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WEAK FRONT MOVING INTO NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT COULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA. HOWEVER, WITH THE LACK OF UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT AND RELATIVELY WEAK NATURE OF THE FRONT, RAIN CHANCES
WILL REMAIN LOW FOR NOW (<30%). SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
AND DIMINISH BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST TAF SITES. THE
HIGHER WIND SPEEDS UP TO 22 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY AT KABI AND
KSJT THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, EXPECT BREEZY WINDS TO DIMINISH BY
TONIGHT AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, AND INCREASE AGAIN LATER
SUNDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 66 91 65 91 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 62 89 62 90 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 60 89 62 90 / 0 0 0 10
BROWNWOOD 62 89 62 89 / 0 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 66 91 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 62 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 62 87 63 87 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...TP
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