030
FXUS64 KSJT 050527
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1227 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
- POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND,
WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE PERIOD. NEAR
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING IN THE MID 80S TO LOW
90S. SOME BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER
THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING, THEN DIMINISH TONIGHT AND
INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 216 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
EXPECT DRY AND WARM WEATHER THROUGH TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH
REMAINS IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL, THE WARMEST BEING IN THE LOWER 90S, OTHERWISE 80S FOR
HIGHS. THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN A LITTLE BIT BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AND WILL RESULT IN LOW CHANCES OF RAIN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. THE COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED SO MUCH OF THE AREA WILL
NOT SEE ANY RAINFALL. EXPECT DRY WEATHER THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL. DO NOT SEE
ANY SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONTS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 10 DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. MAY HAVE SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT IN
THE 12Z-15Z TIME FRAME IN SOME OF OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES, AND THIS
WOULD BRING A POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS. NOT INCLUDING A
MENTION YET IN OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS, BUT WILL MONITOR SATELLITE
AND OBSERVATIONS AND UPDATE IF NEEDED. WINDS WILL VEER A BIT TO
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT, AND WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 8-12 KNOTS AT
KABI AND 5-7 KNOTS AT KSJT. OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS WILL HAVE WIND
SPEEDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. SOUTH OUR SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE BY MID-MORNING AT OUR TAF SITES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS (10-13 KNOTS) ARE EXPECTED AT
KABI, WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS. EXPECT GUSTS TO BE NEAR 18 KNOTS AT
KSJT AND 12-14 KNOTS AT OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BACK
SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST BY MID-TO-LATE AFTERNOON, AND WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE DURING THE EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 90 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 89 62 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 90 61 90 65 / 0 0 10 0
BROWNWOOD 89 62 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 90 65 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 88 61 89 64 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 87 63 88 65 / 0 0 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...19
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