604
FXUS64 KSJT 061823
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
123 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY.
- LOW CHANCES (20%) FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 120 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
OUR AREA WILL HAVE ONE MORE QUIET DAY TODAY, WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY, AND HIGHS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. WITH A
WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT, SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN
YESTERDAY. A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH INITIALLY EXTENDS FROM
SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA PROVINCES IN CANADA ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
CALIFORNIA, AND OUR AREA IS UNDER WEAK SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS TROUGH WILL MAKE EASTWARD PROGRESS TODAY
AND TONIGHT. AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT. THE FRONT
SHOULD BE NEAR I-20 BY 7 AM TUESDAY. EXPECT WINDS TO BE LIGHT
SOUTHEAST TO EAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IN
THE BIG COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST. FOR OUR AREA, RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT LOOK TOO NEGLIGIBLE
TO INCLUDE A MENTION IN THE FORECAST. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S, WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
WEAK COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
WEDNESDAY, BUT WITH LITTLE INSTABILITY, ANY AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY
LIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MID 80S
BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER RIDGING, HOWEVER, WILL BUILD BACK IN STRONGER THE SECOND OF
OF THIS WEEK, WITH HIGHS WARMING BACK UP IN THE LOWER 90S FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGING MAY BEGIN BREAK DOWN NEXT MONDAY
OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS, BUT AT
THIS TIME, IT STILL LOOKS DRY WITH ANY RAINFALL TO THE NORTHWEST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1058 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN WINDS
BECOMING NORTH AT KABI AFTER 12Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 65 88 63 86 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 63 87 63 85 / 0 10 0 10
JUNCTION 63 87 63 86 / 0 20 10 10
BROWNWOOD 63 89 63 86 / 0 10 0 10
SWEETWATER 64 87 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 63 86 64 84 / 0 10 10 20
BRADY 65 85 64 84 / 0 20 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...DANIELS
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