898
FXUS64 KSJT 070521 AAB
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1221 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW CHANCES (20%) FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. MEANWHILE, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. HIGHS ON
TUESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WERE LOWERED BY A
DEGREE OR TWO, WHERE AN EARLIER FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED.
OVERALL, EXPECT HIGHS TO STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL, IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FRONT TUESDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
WEAK COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
WEDNESDAY, BUT WITH LITTLE INSTABILITY, ANY AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY
LIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MID 80S
BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER RIDGING, HOWEVER, WILL BUILD BACK IN STRONGER THE SECOND OF
OF THIS WEEK, WITH HIGHS WARMING BACK UP IN THE LOWER 90S FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGING MAY BEGIN BREAK DOWN NEXT MONDAY
OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS, BUT AT
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY IN THE EARLY TO MID-
MORNING HOURS, AND SHOULD REACH A SAN ANGELO TO RICHLAND SPRINGS
LINE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT SHOULD THEN DRIFT SOUTH TO THE
I-10 CORRIDOR BY EARLY THIS EVENING. SOUTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO NORTHEAST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE SOUTHERN THIRD
OF THE AREA WILL HAVE A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WITH ITS ARRIVAL. WHILE THIS
COULD POTENTIALLY AFFECT OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS, LOW CONFIDENCE IN
PLACEMENT PRECLUDES A MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. THIS WILL
BE REASSESSED GOING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 63 85 65 89 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 63 84 62 87 / 10 10 0 0
JUNCTION 64 85 62 88 / 20 20 0 0
BROWNWOOD 63 85 62 87 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 63 83 64 89 / 10 10 0 0
OZONA 65 83 64 86 / 20 30 0 10
BRADY 65 83 64 86 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...19
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