839
FXUS64 KSJT 071704
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1204 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW CHANCES (20%) FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY IN THE
EARLY TO MID-MORNING HOURS, AND SHOULD REACH A SAN ANGELO TO
RICHLAND SPRINGS LINE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT SHOULD THEN
DRIFT SOUTH TO THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY EARLY THIS EVENING. SOUTHEAST TO
EAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHEAST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE
AREA GENERALLY SOUTH OF AN OZONA TO RICHLAND SPRINGS LINE WILL HAVE
A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, AHEAD OF THE FRONT
AND WITH ITS ARRIVAL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER
TODAY IN THE BIG COUNTRY, WHERE HIGHS IN THE 80S ARE EXPECTED. FOR
AREAS FARTHER SOUTH, TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER
TODAY WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM REMAIN POSSIBLE
TONIGHT IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA (GENERALLY ALONG/SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10). SOME CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT,
AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 60-65 DEGREE RANGE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST/NORTHEAST BEHIND TUESDAY'S FRONT.
LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR
AREA, NEAR THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR
THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY, PROVIDING WEAK SURFACE CONVERGENCE FOR THE
POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS QUITE A
BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN HOW MUCH THE FRONT WILL EFFECT THE HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME MODELS KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S
AND OTHERS INCREASING THEM TO NEAR 90. RIGHT NOW, WE HAVE HIGHS IN
THE MIDDLE OF THESE SOLUTIONS, BUT WE MAY NEED TO ADJUST HIGHS AS WE
GET CLOSER. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER-
WISE AS THE UPPER HIGH BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES
REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY WARM INTO SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1136 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WEAK COLD
FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE CURRENT TAFS. EXPECT
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS THROUGH
THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 63 87 64 89 / 10 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 63 87 63 88 / 10 10 0 0
JUNCTION 63 88 63 89 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 63 88 63 88 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 63 86 64 88 / 10 10 0 0
OZONA 64 85 64 87 / 10 20 0 0
BRADY 64 87 64 86 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...DANIELS
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